Iraq national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 2pm UK
Basra Sport City Stadium
Costa Rica national football team

Iraq
C-C
Costa Rica

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Iraq and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Iraq
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 10 at 2am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 35.96%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%).

Result
IraqDrawCosta Rica
35.96% (1.354 1.35)29.15% (-1.372 -1.37)34.89% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.44% (3.658 3.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66% (4.36 4.36)62.34% (-4.359 -4.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01% (3.078 3.08)81.99% (-3.076 -3.08)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.02% (3.25 3.25)32.98% (-3.248 -3.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (3.451 3.45)69.57% (-3.448 -3.45)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (2.359 2.36)33.69% (-2.357 -2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (2.485 2.49)70.34% (-2.483 -2.48)
Score Analysis
    Iraq 35.95%
    Costa Rica 34.88%
    Draw 29.14%
IraqDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.93 -0.93)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.569 0.57)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.426 0.43)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 13.4% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 11.11% (-1.94 -1.94)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.542 0.54)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.14%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-1.24 -1.24)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.392 0.39)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.298 0.3)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.275 0.28)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 34.88%

How you voted: Iraq vs Costa Rica

Iraq
38.7%
Draw
16.1%
Costa Rica
45.2%
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