Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.