Uzbekistan national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Venezuela national football team

Uzbekistan
1 - 1
Venezuela

Yakhshibaev (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Uzbekistan and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Uzbekistan 1-0 Bolivia
Friday, March 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Venezuela
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
UzbekistanDrawVenezuela
53.76% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)24.38% (0.050000000000001 0.05)21.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.13% (-0.208 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82% (-0.247 -0.25)51.18% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (-0.218 -0.22)73.02% (0.215 0.22)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)18.97% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (-0.157 -0.16)50.5% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.86% (-0.185 -0.19)38.13% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.1% (-0.18 -0.18)74.89% (0.178 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 53.76%
    Venezuela 21.85%
    Draw 24.38%
UzbekistanDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 12.02% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.99% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.034 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Venezuela

Uzbekistan
33.3%
Draw
28.6%
Venezuela
38.1%
21