Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.