International Friendlies
Nov 20, 2022 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion

Uzbekistan vs Russia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 7.00am
Costa Rica 1 - 2 Uzbekistan

Russia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 12.00am
Russia 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Russia had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Russia win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Uzbekistan 37.35% (-0.16)
Draw 25.63% (+0.41)
Russia 37.02% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.53% (-1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.48% (-1.83)
Under 2.5 48.52% (+1.84)
Over 3.5 29.35% (-1.69)
Under 3.5 70.65% (+1.70)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 74.61% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 25.39% (+0.93)
Over 1.5 39.81% (-1.29)
Under 1.5 60.19% (+1.29)

Russia Goals

Over 0.5 74.43% (-0.98)
Under 0.5 25.57% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 39.56% (-1.36)
Under 1.5 60.45% (+1.36)

Score analysis

Uzbekistan 37.35%
Draw 25.62%
Russia 37.02%
Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 8.9% (+0.43)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.1% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.17)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 37.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 6.49% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
Russia
0-1 @ 8.85% (+0.42)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.04% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.17)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 37.02%