Kyrgyzstan vs Russia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 24.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.