International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2022 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion
  • Khojimat Erkinov 12' goal
  • Eldor Shomurodov 45' goal

Uzbekistan vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Feb 1, 2022 3.00pm
New Zealand 0 - 0 Uzbekistan

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result

Uzbekistan 48.74% (-0.02)
Draw 24.1% (+0.01)
Kazakhstan 27.17% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.8% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 45.2% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.46% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 67.54% (+0.03)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5 81.36% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.64% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.95% (+0.04)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.3% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.53% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Uzbekistan 48.74%
Draw 24.09%
Kazakhstan 27.17%
Uzbekistan
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.09%
Kazakhstan
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.17%