International Friendly

Nov 16, 2022 at 1pm UK

Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion

Uzbekistan
2 - 0
Kazakhstan

Erkinov (12'), Shomurodov (45')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 27 at 7am in International Friendlies

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Kazakhstan
48.74% ( -0.02)	24.1% ( 0.01)	27.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

-0.03)

45.2% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

-0.02)

67.54% (

0.03)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

-0.02)

18.64% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.05% (

-0.03)

49.95% (

0.03)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0)

30.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.53% (

-0.01)

66.47% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 48.74%

Kazakhstan 27.17%

Draw 24.09%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 48.74%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.17%