UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 25, 2022 at 5pm UK

Azerbaijan
3 - 0
Kazakhstan

Marochkin (67' og.), Ozobic (74'), Nuriev (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Azerbaijan
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Belarus
Thursday, September 22 at 3pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Kazakhstan
35.15% ( 0.01)	26.09% ( -0.02)	38.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.8% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33% (

0.08)

50.67% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

0.07)

72.57% (

-0.07)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.05)

27.67% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.06)

63.22% (

-0.06)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.39% (

0.04)

25.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

0.06)

60.49% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 35.15%

Kazakhstan 38.75%

Draw 26.09%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Kazakhstan
1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.15%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.75%