Nations League
Sep 25, 2022 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aleksandr Marochkin 67' goal
  • Filip Ozobic 74' goal
  • Anatoliy Nuriev 90'+1' goal

Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
Slovakia 1 - 2 Azerbaijan

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 3.00pm
Kazakhstan 2 - 1 Belarus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Azerbaijan 35.15% (+0.02)
Draw 26.09% (-0.03)
Kazakhstan 38.75% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.8% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.33% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 50.67% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 27.42% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 72.57% (-0.08)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.67% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 36.77% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.22% (-0.06)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 74.39% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.61% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.5% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.49% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Azerbaijan 35.15%
Draw 26.09%
Kazakhstan 38.75%
Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head

Nations League
Jun 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aleksandr Marochkin 36' yellowcard
  • Eldos Akhmetov 38' yellowcard
  • Abat Aymbetov 50' goal
  • Abat Aymbetov 60' goal
  • Islambek Kuat 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eddy Silvestre 90'+2'
International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Astana Arena (Astana)
  • Roman Murtazayev 13' goal
  • Serikzhan Muzhikov 14' goal
  • Yerkebulan Tunggyshbayev 48' yellowcard
  • Baktiyor Zainutdinov 90' goal
  • Georgiy Zhukov 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tamkin Khalilzade 35'