UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Relegation Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kazakhstan
0 - 1
Moldova

(2-2 on aggregate)

Vassiljev (44'), Alip (87'), Dosmagambetov (116')

FT
(aet)

Armas (13')
Rata (27'), Reabciuk (74'), Armas (81'), Mandricenco (85'), Ionita (120+2')

Kazakhstan win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:

Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Belarus vs. Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Moldova

Last Six:

Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Moldova vs. Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%).

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Moldova
46.65%	22.61%	30.74%

Both teams to score 64.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.04%

35.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.95%

58.05%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11%

15.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88%

45.12%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.14%

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 46.65%

Moldova 30.74%

Draw 22.61%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Moldova
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.59% 3-2 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 0.95% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.94% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 3.69% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.61%	1-2 @ 7.23% 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.74%