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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan national football team
Nations League | Relegation Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Mar 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Moldova national football team

Kazakhstan
0 - 1
Moldova


Vassiljev (44'), Alip (87'), Dosmagambetov (116')
FT
(aet)
Armas (13')
Rata (27'), Reabciuk (74'), Armas (81'), Mandricenco (85'), Ionita (120+2')
Kazakhstan win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:
Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Belarus vs. Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Moldova

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Moldova vs. Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

We say: Kazakhstan 1-0 Moldova

 With Kazakhstan holding home advantage and the lead from the first leg, it would be a big surprise to see Moldova mount a comeback given that they have lost their last 10 matches. Kazakhstan should set up to defend their lead but may also nick another goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%).

Result
KazakhstanDrawMoldova
46.65%22.61%30.74%
Both teams to score 64.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.04%35.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.95%58.05%
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11%15.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.88%45.12%
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78%23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87%57.14%
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 46.65%
    Moldova 30.74%
    Draw 22.61%
KazakhstanDrawMoldova
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3.83%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 0.95%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.69%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.61%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 30.74%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Moldova

Kazakhstan
68.4%
Draw
26.3%
Moldova
5.3%
38
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 5pm
League C3
Moldova
1-2
Kazakhstan
Nicolaescu (45+1')
Reabciuk (63')
Maliy (64'), Posmac (79' og.)
Suyumbayev (72'), Maliy (75')
Feb 21, 2019 2pm
Kazakhstan
1-0
Moldova
Celeadnic (61' og.)
Pertsukh (44')
rhs 2.0
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