Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.