World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2021 at 3pm UK

Kazakhstan
0 - 2
Finland

Maliy (36'), Zainutdinov (39'), Vorogovskiy (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pukki (45', 48')
Ivanov (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Kazakhstan and Finland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Finland
27.7%	23.38%	48.92%

Both teams to score 59.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.41%

41.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.01%

63.99%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96%

28.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31%

63.69%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.55%

47.45%

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 27.7%

Finland 48.92%

Draw 23.38%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Finland
2-1 @ 6.86% 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.7%	1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.38%	1-2 @ 9.5% 0-1 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 5.58% 0-3 @ 4.39% 2-3 @ 3.55% 1-4 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 4% Total : 48.92%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs Finland

Kazakhstan

15.9%

Draw

24.5%

Finland

59.6%