UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kazakhstan
2 - 0
Azerbaijan

Aymbetov (50', 60')
Marochkin (36'), Akhmetov (38'), Kuat (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silvestre (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:

Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Belarus vs. Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Azerbaijan

Last Six:

Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Azerbaijan vs. Slovakia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Azerbaijan
41.56% ( 0.09)	22.62% ( -0.01)	35.81% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 66.59% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.87% (

0.03)

34.13% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.98% (

0.03)

56.01% (

-0.03)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88% (

0.05)

17.12% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.67% (

0.08)

47.33% (

-0.08)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0.03)

19.66% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36% (

-0.05)

51.63% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 41.56%

Azerbaijan 35.81%

Draw 22.62%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Azerbaijan
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 41.56%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.62%	1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 35.81%