UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Relegation Playoffs | 1st Leg

Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK

Moldova
1 - 2
Kazakhstan

(2-2 on aggregate)

Nicolaescu (45+1')
Reabciuk (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maliy (64'), Posmac (79' og.)
Suyumbayev (72'), Maliy (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

Last Six:

Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Moldova vs. Latvia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Kazakhstan

Last Six:

Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Belarus vs. Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Moldova win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Kazakhstan
36.77%	24.87%	38.36%

Both teams to score 58.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95%

45.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6%

67.39%

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.89%

24.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59%

58.41%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.73%

23.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.8%

57.2%

Score Analysis

Moldova 36.77%

Kazakhstan 38.36%

Draw 24.86%

Moldova	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-1 @ 8.28% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.77%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.36%