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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Belarus national football team
Nations League | League C
Jun 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Kazakhstan national football team

Belarus
1 - 1
Kazakhstan

Malkevich (84')
Yudenkov (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aymbetov (13')
Kuat (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Belarus and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

Last Six:
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Kazakhstan

Last Six:
Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Belarus 1-3 Kazakhstan

 Although Belarus have won the last two meetings with Kazakhstan, we think that the hosts will fall short on Friday when they come up against a Kazakhstan sid ethat have won their opening two Nations League games without conceding. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
BelarusDrawKazakhstan
33.9% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 25.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 40.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.68% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (0.039999999999999 0.04)68.95% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.033999999999992 0.03)26.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)61.71% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.012 0.01)22.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.014999999999993 0.01)56.33% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 33.9%
    Kazakhstan 40.96%
    Draw 25.13%
BelarusDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 7.98% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.27% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.96%

How you voted: Belarus vs Kazakhstan

Belarus
20.6%
Draw
13.5%
Kazakhstan
65.9%
126
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
League C4
Belarus
2-0
Kazakhstan
Yablonski (36'), Yuzepchukh (90+3')

Maliy (16')
Sep 7, 2020 3pm
League C4
Kazakhstan
1-2
Belarus
Aymbetov (62')
Beysebekov (15'), Suyumbayev (40'), Maliy (88')
Bordachev (53'), Lisakovich (86')
Ebong (73')
rhs 2.0
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