Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.