Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Slovakia had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Slovakia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Finland would win this match.