UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 10, 2022 at 5pm UK

Moldova
2 - 4
Latvia

Nicolaescu (5' pen.), Motpan (64')
Bolohan (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gutkovskis (19', 60'), Ikaunieks (26', 75')
Cernomordijs (21'), CigaÅ†iks (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

Last Six:

Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Latvia

Last Six:

Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 6 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Andorra	0	0	0
3	Latvia	0	0	0
4	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Latvia
30.16% ( 0.11)	26.77% ( -0.05)	43.07% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 50.15% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.33% (

0.22)

54.66% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24% (

0.18)

75.99% (

-0.19)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

0.2)

32.99% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

0.22)

69.57% (

-0.22)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

0.06)

25.15% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

0.09)

59.87% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Moldova 30.16%

Latvia 43.06%

Draw 26.77%

Moldova	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.16%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 43.06%