MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 11:29:00| >> :600:3263402:3263402:
Moldova national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 10, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Latvia national football team

Moldova
2 - 4
Latvia

Nicolaescu (5' pen.), Motpan (64')
Bolohan (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gutkovskis (19', 60'), Ikaunieks (26', 75')
Cernomordijs (21'), Cigaņiks (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Andorra 0-0 Moldova
Monday, June 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Liechtenstein
Monday, June 6 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Moldova 1-1 Latvia

Both sides will enter the contest in confident mood after their respective unbeaten starts to the Nations League, and with neither nation wanting to give an inch to their promotion rival, we think that Friday's contest will see the points shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
MoldovaDrawLatvia
30.16% (0.111 0.11) 26.77% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 43.07% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.15% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.222 0.22)54.66% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.184 0.18)75.99% (-0.187 -0.19)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (0.19799999999999 0.2)32.99% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.221 0.22)69.57% (-0.224 -0.22)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.064999999999998 0.06)25.15% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)59.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 30.16%
    Latvia 43.06%
    Draw 26.77%
MoldovaDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.16%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 11.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.9% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.06%

How you voted: Moldova vs Latvia

Moldova
33.0%
Draw
23.7%
Latvia
43.3%
97
rhs 2.0
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