/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmollog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Flatlog.png)
-
Ion Nicolaescu
5'
-
Vadim Bolohan
45'+3'
-
Nichita Motpan
64'
-
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
19'
-
Antonijs Cernomordijs
21'
-
Janis Ikaunieks
26'
-
Andrejs Cigaņiks
45'
-
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
60'
-
Janis Ikaunieks
75'
Moldova vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdenmol_1.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.
Result
Moldova
30.16%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
26.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Latvia
43.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.15%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.33%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
54.66%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 3.5
24%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 3.5
75.99%
▼
(-0.19)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5
67.01%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
32.99%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 1.5
30.42%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
69.57%
▼
(-0.23)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5
74.84%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
25.15%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
40.12%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
59.87%
▼
(-0.10)
Score analysis
Moldova
30.16%
Draw
26.77%
Latvia
43.06%
Moldova
1-0
@
9.2%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.16%
2-1 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.16%
Draw
1-1
@
12.7%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
0-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
Latvia
0-1
@
11.45%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.06%
1-2 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.06%