UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kazakhstan
2 - 1
Belarus

Gabyshev (29'), Zainutdinov (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Savitskiy (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 13 at 3pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Belarus

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-0 Belarus
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.79%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Kazakhstan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kazakhstan.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Belarus
51.9% ( -0.04)	21.64% ( 0.01)	26.46% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 64.8% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.74% (

0.02)

34.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.84% (

0.02)

56.16% (

-0.02)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5% (

-0.01)

13.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46% (

-0.02)

40.54% (

0.02)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

0.04)

25.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.23% (

0.05)

59.77% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 51.9%

Belarus 26.46%

Draw 21.64%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Belarus
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.17% 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.9%	1-1 @ 9.38% 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.39% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.64%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 26.46%