UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Sep 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Slovakia
1 - 2
Azerbaijan

Jirka (90+3' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dadasov (44'), Haghverdi (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 13 at 3pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Azerbaijan

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-0 Belarus
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Azerbaijan
56.26% ( -0.16)	23.31% ( 0.13)	20.43% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.55% (

-0.51)

48.45% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.42% (

-0.46)

70.58% (

0.46)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

-0.24)

17.03% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83% (

-0.42)

47.17% (

0.42)

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.98% (

-0.26)

38.02% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.21% (

-0.25)

74.79% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 56.26%

Azerbaijan 20.43%

Draw 23.3%

Slovakia	Draw	Azerbaijan
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 56.26%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.43%