Uzbekistan national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 24, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Bolivia national football team

Uzbekistan
1 - 0
Bolivia

Shomurodov (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Uzbekistan and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Russia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Bolivia

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Bolivia
Sunday, November 20 at 2am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 80.66%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.53%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawBolivia
80.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)12.87% (-0.012 -0.01)6.47%
Both teams to score 44.58% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.24% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.28% (0.068000000000005 0.07)56.71% (-0.07 -0.07)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)6.65% (-0.0149 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.32% (0.040999999999997 0.04)24.68% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.76% (0.042999999999999 0.04)52.24% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.84% (0.027000000000001 0.03)86.16% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 80.66%
    Bolivia 6.47%
    Draw 12.87%
UzbekistanDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 12.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.53%
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 7.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 4.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 80.66%
1-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 12.87%
0-1 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
1-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 6.47%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Bolivia

Uzbekistan
69.6%
Draw
8.7%
Bolivia
21.7%
23