International Friendlies
Peru
Nov 20, 2022 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolivia
  • Luis Iberico 55' goal

Peru vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Nov 17, 2022 1.00am
Peru 1 - 0 Paraguay

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 24, 2022 6.00pm
Bolivia 0 - 2 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 83.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (12.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.

Result

Peru 83.76% ▲ (+19.86)
Draw 12% ▼ (-11.36)
Bolivia 4.24% ▼ (-8.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.4% ▼ (-4.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.25% ▲ (+18.35)
Under 2.5 41.75% ▼ (-18.35)
Over 3.5 35.85% ▲ (+16.16)
Under 3.5 64.15% ▼ (-16.16)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 92.53% ▲ (+11.07)
Under 0.5 7.47% ▼ (-11.07)
Over 1.5 73.15% ▲ (+22.94)
Under 1.5 26.84% ▼ (-22.94)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 35.02% ▼ (-9.90)
Under 0.5 64.98% ▲ (+9.90)
Over 1.5 7.01% ▼ (-5.06)
Under 1.5 92.99% ▲ (+5.06)

Score analysis

Peru 83.75%
Draw 12%
Bolivia 4.24%
Peru
2-0 @ 16.33% ▲ (+1.83)
3-0 @ 14.12% ▲ (+5.98)
1-0 @ 12.59% ▼ (-4.63)
4-0 @ 9.16% ▲ (+5.73)
2-1 @ 7.04% ▼ (-1.61)
3-1 @ 6.09% ▲ (+1.24)
5-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+3.60)
4-1 @ 3.95% ▲ (+1.91)
6-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-30.45)
5-1 @ 2.05% ▼ (-66.95)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 83.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.43% ▼ (-4.84)
0-0 @ 4.85% ▼ (-5.36)
2-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-1.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 12%
Bolivia
0-1 @ 2.09% ▼ (-4.00)
1-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-1.89)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 4.24%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Peru
Nov 12, 2021 2.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Bolivia
  • Gianluca Lapadula 9' goal
  • Christian Cueva 31' goal
  • Christian Cueva 32' yellowcard
  • Sergio Pena 39' goal
  • Miguel Trauco 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franz Gonzales Mejia 40'
  • yellowcard Franz Gonzales 40'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Bolivia
Oct 10, 2021 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Peru
  • Moises Villarroel 2' yellowcard
  • Adrian Jusino 24' yellowcard
  • Leonel Justiniano 74' yellowcard
  • Henry Vaca 76' redcard
  • Ramiro Vaca 83' goal
  • yellowcard Christofer Gonzales 42'
  • yellowcard Wilder Cartagena 76'
Copa America
Bolivia
Jun 18, 2019 10.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Maracana, Rio de Janeiro
Peru
  • Marcelo Martins 28' goal
  • Alejandro Chumacero 30' yellowcard
  • Roberto Fernandez 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Haquin 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 27'
  • yellowcard Paolo Guerrero 42'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 45'
  • goal Jefferson Farfan 55'
  • goal Edison Flores 95'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Peru
Sep 1, 2017 3.15am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental
Bolivia
  • Edison Flores 55' goal
  • Christian Cueva 59' goal
  • goal Gilbert Alvarez 72'
Copa America
Bolivia
Jun 26, 2015 12.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Peru
  • Danny Bejarano 35' yellowcard
  • Pablo Escobar 69' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pedriel 73' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Moreno 84' goal
  • Marcelo Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 20'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 23'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 31'
  • yellowcard Pedro Gallese 61'
  • goal Paolo Guerrero 74'
  • yellowcard Victor Yotun 89'
  • yellowcard Jose Reyna 94'

Form Data

Peru 1 - 0 Paraguay
El Salvador 1 - 4 Peru
Mexico 1 - 0 Peru
Australia 0 - 0 Peru
Peru 1 - 0 New Zealand
Peru 2 - 0 Paraguay
Bolivia 0 - 2 Senegal
Qatar 0 - 0 Bolivia
Bolivia 0 - 4 Brazil
Colombia 3 - 0 Bolivia
Bolivia 2 - 3 Chile
Venezuela 4 - 1 Bolivia