CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 29, 2023 1.00am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cyle Larin 8' goal
  • Cyle Larin 11' goal
  • Jonathan David 49' goal
  • Jonathan Osorio 86' goal
  • goal Jorge Benguche 73'

Canada vs Honduras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Mar 26, 2023 3.00am
Curacao 0 - 2 Canada

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 14, 2022 3.00am
Honduras 2 - 1 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.72%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result

Canada 70.95% (-0.93)
Draw 18.78% (+0.58)
Honduras 10.27% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.35% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.05% (-1.41)
Under 2.5 48.95% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 28.96% (-1.29)
Under 3.5 71.04% (+1.29)
Over 4.5 13.96% (-0.89)
Under 4.5 86.04% (+0.89)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 87.47% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 12.54% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 61.44% (-1.41)
Under 1.5 38.57% (+1.41)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5 47.27% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 52.73% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 13.53% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 86.47% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Canada 70.95%
Draw 18.78%
Honduras 10.27%
Canada
2-0 @ 14.25% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 13.72% (+0.44)
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.12% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.31% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.25)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.18)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 70.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.79% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 6.61% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 18.78%
Honduras
0-1 @ 4.23% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 2.81% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.35% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 10.27%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 14, 2022 3.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Metropolitano
  • Kevin Lopez 13' goal
  • Deybi Flores 58' yellowcard
  • Romell Quioto 66' yellowcard
  • Kervin Arriaga 78' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Vitoria 5'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 31'
  • yellowcard Junior Hoilett 40'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 66'
  • yellowcard Mark-Anthony Kaye 70'
  • goal Jonathan David 86'
  • goal Jonathan David 87'
  • redcard Alistair Johnston 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Milan Borjan 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Doneil Henry 90'+6'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 28, 2022 1.05am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alfredo Mejia 29' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodriguez 60' yellowcard
  • W. Quaye 68' yellowcard
  • Wisdom Quaye 68' yellowcard
  • goal Denil Omar Maldonado Munguia 10' (OG)
  • goal Denil Maldonado 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Liam Fraser 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Atiba Hutchinson 62'
  • goal Jonathan David 73'
  • yellowcard Lucas Cavallini 84'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 3, 2021 1.05am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Steven Vitoria 62' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 66' goal
  • goal Alexander Lopez 40'
  • yellowcard Rigoberto Rivas 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Carlos Pineda 80'