CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 29, 2023 at 1am UK
BMO Field
Canada4 - 1Honduras
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Canada and Honduras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Curacao 0-2 Canada
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Sunday, March 26 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 70.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.72%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Honduras |
70.95% ( -0.93) | 18.78% ( 0.57) | 10.27% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 41.35% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
