/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcurlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fcanlog.png)
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Jonathan David
23'
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Cyle Larin
43'
Curacao vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Curacao had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.14%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Curacao win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
Result
Curacao
11.52%
▼
(-0.30)
Draw
20.36%
▼
(-0.06)
Canada
68.12%
▲
(+0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
40.87%
▼
(-0.70)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.93%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 2.5
52.07%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 3.5
26.2%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
73.8%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
12.13%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
87.87%
▲
(+0.25)
Curacao Goals
Over 0.5
47.71%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 0.5
52.29%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 1.5
13.8%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
86.19%
▲
(+0.52)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5
85.66%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
14.33%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
57.82%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
42.18%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Curacao
11.52%
Draw
20.36%
Canada
68.11%
Curacao
1-0
@
4.86%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.52%
2-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.52%
Draw
1-1
@
9.44%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.36%
0-0 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.36%
Canada
0-1
@
14.56%
▲
(+0.25)
0-2 @ 14.14% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 68.11%
0-2 @ 14.14% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.07)
0-5 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 68.11%