International Friendlies
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fdomlog.png)
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Ben Brereton Diaz
11'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
11'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
17'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
17'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
25'
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Ben Brereton Diaz
25'
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Bruno Barticciotto
45'
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Bruno Barticciotto
45'
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Bruno Barticciotto
58'
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Bruno Barticciotto
58'
Chile vs Dominican Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
Result
Chile
64.88%
▲
(+9.72)
Draw
21.36%
▼
(-3.68)
Dominican Republic
13.76%
▼
(-6.04)
Both Teams to Score:
44.1%
▼
(-1.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.76%
▲
(+4.63)
Under 2.5
51.24%
▼
(-4.63)
Over 3.5
26.92%
▲
(+3.91)
Under 3.5
73.08%
▼
(-3.91)
Over 4.5
12.6%
▲
(+2.48)
Under 4.5
87.4%
▼
(-2.48)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
84.92%
▲
(+5.15)
Under 0.5
15.08%
▼
(-5.15)
Over 1.5
56.38%
▲
(+8.95)
Under 1.5
43.62%
▼
(-8.95)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5
51.93%
▼
(-5.10)
Under 0.5
48.07%
▲
(+5.10)
Over 1.5
16.72%
▼
(-4.02)
Under 1.5
83.28%
▲
(+4.02)
Score analysis
Chile
64.87%
Draw
21.36%
Dominican Republic
13.76%
Chile
1-0
@
13.71%
▼
(-0.18)
2-0 @ 12.97% ▲ (+1.88)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+2.27)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+1.00)
4-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+1.51)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.84)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-74.04)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-62.63)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-83.17)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 64.87%
2-0 @ 12.97% ▲ (+1.88)
2-1 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 8.18% ▲ (+2.27)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+1.00)
4-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+1.51)
4-1 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.84)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.46% ▼ (-74.04)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-62.63)
4-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-83.17)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 64.87%
Draw
1-1
@
10.04%
▼
(-1.70)
0-0 @ 7.25% ▼ (-1.45)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.36%
0-0 @ 7.25% ▼ (-1.45)
2-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.36%
Dominican Republic
0-1
@
5.31%
▼
(-2.04)
1-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-1.28)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-1.16)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.76%
1-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-1.28)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-1.16)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.76%