Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Dominican Republic
64.88% ( 9.71)	21.36% ( -3.67)	13.76% ( -6.04)

Both teams to score 44.1% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.76% (

4.62)

51.24% (

-4.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.92% (

3.9)

73.08% (

-3.9)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.92% (

5.15)

15.08% (

-5.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.38% (

8.95)

43.62% (

-8.95)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.93% (

-5.1)

48.07% (

5.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.72% (

-4.01)

83.28% (

4.01)

Score Analysis

Chile 64.87%

Dominican Republic 13.76%

Draw 21.36%

Chile	Draw	Dominican Republic
1-0 @ 13.71% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 12.97% ( 1.87) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( 2.27) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 1) 4-0 @ 3.87% ( 1.51) 4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.84) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.71) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.44) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.05% Total : 64.87%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -1.69) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.44) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.36%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( -2.03) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -1.28) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -1.16) Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.76%