CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Mar 27, 2023 at 11pm UK

Dominican Rep.
2 - 0
Belize

Reyes (12'), Lorenzo (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominican Republic and Belize.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

Last Game: French Guiana 1-1 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, March 23 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Belize

Last Game: Belize 1-2 Guatemala
Saturday, March 25 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Belize had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Belize win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dominican Republic in this match.

Result
Dominican Republic	Draw	Belize
70.37% ( 0.94)	17.42% ( -0.57)	12.21% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 52.58% (

0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43% (

1.8)

37.57% (

-1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2% (

1.9)

59.8% (

-1.9)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.46% (

0.7)

9.54% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.05% (

1.63)

31.95% (

-1.62)

Belize Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.12% (

0.59)

41.88% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.67% (

0.52)

78.33% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Dominican Republic 70.36%

Belize 12.21%

Draw 17.42%

Dominican Republic	Draw	Belize
2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.53) 3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.13) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.22% Total : 70.36%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.36) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.42%	1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 12.21%