Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Belize had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.94%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Belize win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.