International Friendly

Nov 20, 2022 at 3am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

Guatemala
3 - 1
Nicaragua

Lom (45+3' pen., 63'), Santis (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moreno (74')

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Guatemala and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Qatar 2-0 Guatemala
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Belize vs. Guatemala
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	3	4	7
2	Mexico	3	6	5
3	Cuba	3	-7	3
4	Guatemala	3	-3	1

Nicaragua

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Nicaragua 1-0 El Salvador
Thursday, November 17 at 2am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Nicaragua vs. St Vincent & Gr.
Thursday, March 23 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Nicaragua
52.57% ( -5.13)	24.86% ( 1.65)	22.56% ( 3.49)

Both teams to score 49.61% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.68% (

-2.47)

52.32% (

2.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.99% (

-2.16)

74.01% (

2.16)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.12% (

-2.86)

19.88% (

2.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.01% (

-4.84)

51.99% (

4.84)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92% (

2.2)

38.08% (

-2.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.15% (

2.07)

74.85% (

-2.07)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 52.56%

Nicaragua 22.56%

Draw 24.85%

Guatemala	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.87) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -1.03) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.66) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.77% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.77) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.85%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 1.08) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.68) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.69) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.28) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.56%