Nicaragua national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Nacional de Fútbol
El Salvador national football team

Nicaragua
1 - 0
El Salvador

Bonilla (82' pen., 83' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Nicaragua and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iran 1-0 Nicaragua
Thursday, November 10 at 11am in International Friendlies

El Salvador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-4 Peru
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nicaragua in this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawEl Salvador
48.99% (0.069000000000003 0.07)24.79% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)26.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.6% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)48.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)71% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (0.022000000000006 0.02)19.99% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81% (0.040999999999997 0.04)52.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)32.99% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.061 -0.06)69.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 48.98%
    El Salvador 26.21%
    Draw 24.79%
NicaraguaDrawEl Salvador
1-0 @ 10.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 26.21%

How you voted: Nicaragua vs El Salvador

Nicaragua
41.7%
Draw
25.0%
El Salvador
33.3%
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