International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Fútbol
  • Byron Bonilla 82' goal
  • Byron Bonilla 83' goal

Nicaragua vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 22, 2022 7.00pm
Suriname 2 - 1 Nicaragua

El Salvador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 25, 2022 12.30am
El Salvador 0 - 4 Guatemala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nicaragua in this match.

Result

Nicaragua 48.99% (+0.07)
Draw 24.79% (-0.02)
El Salvador 26.21% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 48.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71% (+0.01)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 80% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 19.99% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 47.81% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 52.18% (-0.05)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 67% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 32.99% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 30.42% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 69.58% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Nicaragua 48.98%
Draw 24.79%
El Salvador 26.21%
Nicaragua
1-0 @ 10.61% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 26.21%