Guatemala national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores
Panama national football team

Guatemala
1 - 1
Panama

Lom (85' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harvey (18', 18')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Guatemala and Panama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
Last Game: Guatemala 3-1 Nicaragua
Sunday, November 20 at 3am in International Friendlies

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Cameroon 1-1 Panama
Friday, November 18 at 10am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Panama had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
GuatemalaDrawPanama
50.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)24.75% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)24.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.97% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)71.95% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)19.75% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.2% (0.025000000000006 0.03)51.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.013000000000005 0.01)34.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 50.6%
    Panama 24.65%
    Draw 24.75%
GuatemalaDrawPanama
1-0 @ 11.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 50.6%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2%
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 24.65%