International Friendlies
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-
Paulo Diaz
25'
-
Alexis Sanchez
76'
-
Antony Silva
90'+2'
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Matias Rojas
32'
-
Gabriel Avalos
34'
Chile vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
Result
Chile
55.93%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
25.38%
▼
(-0.16)
Paraguay
18.68%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
42.94%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.66%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 2.5
58.34%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 3.5
21.04%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 3.5
78.95%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 4.5
8.94%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
91.06%
▼
(-0.16)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
79.09%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
20.91%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
46.36%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 1.5
53.64%
▼
(-0.41)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
54.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
45.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
18.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
81.49%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Chile
55.93%
Draw
25.38%
Paraguay
18.69%
Chile
1-0
@
14.95%
▼
(-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.93%
2-0 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.1% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.71%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.38%
Paraguay
0-1
@
7.48%
▼
(-0.10)
1-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.69%
