World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 12, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Monumental de Maturin
  • Samuel Sosa 37' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 65' yellowcard
  • Miguel Navarro 75' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 42'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gonzalez 75'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 83'
  • yellowcard Ivan Piris 90'+2'

Venezuela vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 8, 2023 12.00am
Colombia 1 - 0 Venezuela

Paraguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last game
Sep 7, 2023 11.30pm
Paraguay 0 - 0 Peru

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 17.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result

Venezuela 56.62% (+0.42)
Draw 26.06% (-0.28)
Paraguay 17.32% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.22% (+0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.93% (+0.68)
Under 2.5 62.07% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 18.21% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 81.79% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 7.33% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 92.67% (-0.28)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5 77.83% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 22.17% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 44.44% (+0.70)
Under 1.5 55.56% (-0.70)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 50.39% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 49.61% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 15.61% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 84.38% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Venezuela 56.61%
Draw 26.05%
Paraguay 17.32%
Venezuela
1-0 @ 16.56% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 12.48% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.75% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.27% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.39% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.36% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.66% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 10.99% (-0.28)
2-2 @ 3.07% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.05%
Paraguay
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 4.07% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 17.32%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 9, 2021 11.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Martinez 7' goal
  • Junior Alonso 21' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Romero 46' goal
  • Fabian Balbuena 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Gonzalez 54'
  • goal Jhon Chancellor 90'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 13, 2020 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Antonio Sanabria 86'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • goal Yangel Herrera 84'