World Cup Qualifying - South America
Paraguay
Sep 7, 2023 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Aranda
Peru
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 15'
  • yellowcard Miguel Araujo 26'
  • redcard Luis Advincula 45'

Paraguay vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

Peru

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.97%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Paraguay 47.38% ▼ (-0.50)
Draw 29.32% ▲ (+0.38)
Peru 23.3% ▲ (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.95% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.48% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 2.5 66.52% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 3.5 15.06% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 3.5 84.94% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 4.5 5.65% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 4.5 94.34% ▲ (+0.35)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 71.51% ▼ (-0.74)
Under 0.5 28.49% ▲ (+0.74)
Over 1.5 35.73% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 1.5 64.26% ▲ (+0.93)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 54.47% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 45.52% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 1.5 18.65% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 81.35% ▲ (+0.38)

Score analysis

Paraguay 47.37%
Draw 29.32%
Peru 23.29%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 16.28% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.15)
3-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 47.37%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.97% ▲ (+0.48)
1-1 @ 12.81% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.32%
Peru
0-1 @ 10.2% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 23.29%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Peru
Nov 17, 2022 1.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Lima
Paraguay
  • Alex Valera 49' goal
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Peru
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Paraguay
  • Gianluca Lapadula 5' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 28' yellowcard
  • Yoshimar Yotun 42' goal
  • yellowcard Robert Rojas 45'
  • yellowcard Richard Ortiz 55'
Copa America
Peru
Jul 2, 2021 10.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
ET
Paraguay
  • Anderson Santamaria 15' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 21' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 40' goal
  • Christian Cueva 60' yellowcard
  • Andre Carrillo 75' yellowcard
  • Yoshimar Yotun 80' goal
  • Andre Carrillo 85' redcard
  • goal Gustavo Gomez 11'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Gomez 42'
  • redcard Gustavo Gomez 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Mathias Villasanti 49'
  • goal Junior Alonso 54'
  • yellowcard Alberto Espinola 87'
  • goal Gabriel Avalos 90'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Paraguay
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Peru
  • Andres Cubas 35' yellowcard
  • Alberto Espinola Gimenez 43' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 66' goal
  • Angel Romero 81' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos Zambrano 18'
  • goal Andre Carrillo 52'
  • goal Andre Carrillo 85'
International Friendlies
Peru
Mar 23, 2019 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena (Harrison, New Jersey)
Paraguay
  • Christian Cueva 4' goal
  • Renato Tapia 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Advincula 64' yellowcard
Copa America
Peru
Jul 4, 2015 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, Concepcion
Paraguay
  • Andre Carillo 48' goal
  • Victor Yotun 85' yellowcard
  • Joel Sanchez 88' yellowcard
  • Paolo Guerrero 89' goal
  • yellowcard Miguel Samudio 38'

Form Data

Paraguay 2 - 0 Nicaragua
Chile 3 - 2 Paraguay
Colombia 2 - 0 Paraguay
Peru 1 - 0 Paraguay
Paraguay 0 - 0 Morocco
Paraguay 1 - 0 UAE
Japan 4 - 1 Peru
South Korea 0 - 1 Peru
Morocco 0 - 0 Peru
Germany 2 - 0 Peru
Peru 1 - 0 Bolivia
Peru 1 - 0 Paraguay