World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Aranda

Paraguay
0 - 0
Peru

Advincula (15'), Araujo (26')
Advincula (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Paraguay 2-0 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.97%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Peru
47.38% ( -0.49)	29.32% ( 0.38)	23.3% ( 0.11)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Paraguay	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 16.28% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 47.37%	0-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.47) 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.29%