World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2023 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Aranda

Paraguay
0 - 0
Peru

Advincula (15'), Araujo (26')
Advincula (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Paraguay 2-0 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.97%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Peru
47.38% ( -0.49)	29.32% ( 0.38)	23.3% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 38.95% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.48% (

-0.99)

66.52% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.06% (

-0.68)

84.94% (

0.68)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.51% (

-0.74)

28.49% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0.93)

64.26% (

0.93)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.47% (

-0.47)

45.52% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.65% (

-0.38)

81.35% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 47.37%

Peru 23.29%

Draw 29.32%

Paraguay	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 16.28% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 47.37%	0-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.47) 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 23.29%