South Korea national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 12pm UK
Busan Asiad Main Stadium
Peru national football team

South Korea
0 - 1
Peru

FT(HT: 0-1)
Reyna (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between South Korea and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 1-2 Uruguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Peru
Tuesday, March 28 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
South KoreaDrawPeru
57.11% (-0.269 -0.27)24.19% (0.069000000000003 0.07)18.7% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.13% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (0.0039999999999978 0)54.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (0.004999999999999 0)75.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)18.79% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79% (-0.166 -0.17)50.21% (0.167 0.17)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.81% (0.241 0.24)43.19% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.55% (0.2 0.2)79.45% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    South Korea 57.1%
    Peru 18.7%
    Draw 24.19%
South KoreaDrawPeru
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 11.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 57.1%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.78% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: South Korea vs Peru

South Korea
56.3%
Draw
17.2%
Peru
26.6%
64
rhs 2.0


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