Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peru win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Germany in this match.

Result
Germany	Draw	Peru
69.02% ( 0.08)	18.07% ( -0.05)	12.92% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.19% (

0.16)

38.81% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.88% (

0.17)

61.12% (

-0.17)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

0.06)

10.2% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.52% (

0.14)

33.48% (

-0.14)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.43% (

0.06)

41.57% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.94% (

0.05)

78.06% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Germany 69.01%

Peru 12.92%

Draw 18.07%

Germany	Draw	Peru
2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.59% Total : 69.01%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.07%	1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.5% Total : 12.92%