International Friendlies
Germany
Mar 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Olympiastadion Berlin
Peru
  • Niclas Fullkrug 12' goal
  • Niclas Fullkrug 33' goal

Germany vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany

All competitions

Peru

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peru win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Germany in this match.

Result

Germany 69.02% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 18.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Peru 12.92% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.47% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.19% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 38.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 3.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 61.12% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 4.5 21.24%
Under 4.5 78.76%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 89.8% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 10.2% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 66.52% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 33.48% ▼ (-0.15)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 58.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 41.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 21.94% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 78.06% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Germany 69.01%
Draw 18.07%
Peru 12.92%
Germany
2-0 @ 11.04% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.38% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 69.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 18.07%
Peru
1-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 12.92%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Germany
Sep 9, 2018 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena (Sinsheim)
Peru
  • Julian Brandt 25' goal
  • Nico Schulz 85' goal
  • goal Luis Advincula 22'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 73'

Form Data

Costa Rica 2 - 4 Germany
Spain 1 - 1 Germany
Germany 1 - 2 Japan
Oman 0 - 1 Germany
England 3 - 3 Germany
Germany 0 - 1 Hungary
Peru 1 - 0 Bolivia
Peru 1 - 0 Paraguay
El Salvador 1 - 4 Peru
Mexico 1 - 0 Peru
Australia 0 - 0 Peru
Peru 1 - 0 New Zealand

Build-up

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