World Cup
Costa Rica
Dec 1, 2022 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Germany
  • Yeltsin Tejeda 58' goal
  • Juan Pablo Vargas 70' goal
  • goal Serge Gnabry 10'
  • goal Kai Havertz 73'
  • goal Kai Havertz 85'
  • goal Niclas Fullkrug 89'

Costa Rica vs Germany - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 27, 2022 10.00am
Japan 0 - 1 Costa Rica

Germany

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 27, 2022 7.00pm
Spain 1 - 1 Germany

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.49%) and 0-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result

Costa Rica 10.26% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 16.12% ▼ (-0.19)
Germany 73.62% ▲ (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.41% ▼ (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 36.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 40.94% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.06% ▲ (+0.02)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 0.5 44.83% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 1.5 19.2% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 1.5 80.8% ▲ (+0.47)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 91.38% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 8.62% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 70.25% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 29.74% ▼ (-0.26)

Score analysis

Costa Rica 10.26%
Draw 16.12%
Germany 73.61%
Costa Rica
1-0 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 10.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 16.12%
Germany
0-2 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.12)
0-3 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.15)
0-1 @ 9.47% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.12)
1-4 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.08)
1-5 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
0-6 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 73.61%

Form Data

Japan 0 - 1 Costa Rica
Spain 7 - 0 Costa Rica
Iraq 0 - 0 Costa Rica
Costa Rica 2 - 0 Nigeria
Costa Rica 1 - 2 Uzbekistan
South Korea 2 - 2 Costa Rica
Spain 1 - 1 Germany
Germany 1 - 2 Japan
Oman 0 - 1 Germany
England 3 - 3 Germany
Germany 0 - 1 Hungary
Germany 5 - 2 Italy

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