Friendlies 1

Jun 20, 2023 at 10.55am UK

National Olympic Stadium

Japan
4 - 1
Peru

Ito (22'), Mitoma (37'), Ito (63'), Maeda (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gonzales (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Japan 6-0 El Salvador
Thursday, June 15 at 11.10am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Peru

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Korea 0-1 Peru
Friday, June 16 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Peru
63.21% ( 19.25)	23.56% ( 1.1)	13.24% ( -20.35)

Both teams to score 37.25% (

-29.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09% (

-25.99)

59.92% (

25.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

-24.39)

80.18% (

24.39)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

-2.62)

18.73% (

2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91% (

-4.59)

50.1% (

4.59)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.83% (

-33.5)

54.18% (

33.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.62% (

-34.11)

87.38% (

34.12)

Score Analysis

Japan 63.19%

Peru 13.24%

Draw 23.55%

Japan	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 16.99% ( 10.91) 2-0 @ 14.23% ( 8.68) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 4.57) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.46) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 1.79) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -2.71) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.55) Other @ 2.45% Total : 63.19%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.83) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 6.81) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -4.22) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -4.36) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -2.23) Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.24%