Friendlies 1

Mar 28, 2023 at 11.20am UK

National Olympic Stadium

Japan
1 - 2
Colombia

Mitoma (3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Duran (33'), Borre (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Japan 1-1 Uruguay
Friday, March 24 at 10.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

Colombia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Korea 2-2 Colombia
Friday, March 24 at 11am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Japan	Draw	Colombia
41.42% ( 0.16)	29.9% ( -0.04)	28.68% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 41.03% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.23% (

0.06)

65.77% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.57% (

0.04)

84.42% (

-0.04)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62% (

0.12)

31.38% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

0.14)

67.75% (

-0.14)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.8% (

-0.06)

40.2% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.16% (

-0.06)

76.83% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Japan 41.42%

Colombia 28.67%

Draw 29.89%

Japan	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.42%	1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.89%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.37% Total : 28.67%