International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2023 11.20am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT National Olympic Stadium
  • Kaoru Mitoma 3' goal
  • goal Jhon Duran 33'
  • goal Rafael Borre 61'

Japan vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 10.30am
Japan 1 - 1 Uruguay

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 11.00am
South Korea 2 - 2 Colombia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Japan 41.42% (+0.16)
Draw 29.9% (-0.04)
Colombia 28.68% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.03% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.23% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 65.77% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 15.57% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 84.42% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 5.92% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 94.08% (-0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 68.62% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 31.38% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 32.25% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 67.75% (-0.15)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 59.8% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 40.2% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 23.16% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 76.83% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Japan 41.42%
Draw 29.89%
Colombia 28.67%
Japan
1-0 @ 14.62% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.47% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.72% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.27% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 41.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 12.61% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.89%
Colombia
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 28.67%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2019 10.20am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)
  • Gaku Shibasaki 68' yellowcard
  • goal Radamel Falcao 64'
World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 19, 2018 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Mordovia Arena (Saransk)
  • Juan Quintero 39' goal
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 6'
  • goal Yuya Osako 73'
World Cup
Jun 24, 2014 9.00pm
1
4
HT : 2 1
FT Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba
  • 0' goal
  • Yasuyuki Konno 16' yellowcard
  • Shinji Okazaki 45'+1' goal
  • goal Juan Cuadrado 17'
  • goal Jackson Martinez 55'
  • yellowcard Fredy Guarin 63'
  • goal Jackson Martinez 82'
  • goal James Rodriguez 90'