International Friendlies
Jun 15, 2023 11.10am
6
0
HT : 4 0
FT Minato Soccer Stadium
  • Shogo Taniguchi 1' goal
  • Ayase Ueda 4' goal
  • Takefusa Kubo 25' goal
  • Ritsu Doan 44' goal
  • Keito Nakamura 60' goal
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 73' goal

Japan vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 11.20am
Japan 1 - 2 Colombia

El Salvador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 23, 2023 3.00am
El Salvador 0 - 1 Honduras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result

Japan 61.75% (+0.08)
Draw 23.05% (-0.02)
El Salvador 15.2% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.78% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.03% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.97% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 23.76% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.24% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.58% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 89.42% (+0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 82.58% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.42% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 52.13% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 47.87% (-0.03)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 51.8% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 48.2% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 16.62% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 83.38% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Japan 61.75%
Draw 23.05%
El Salvador 15.2%
Japan
1-0 @ 14.67% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 12.82% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 61.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.05%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.2%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2019 11.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Miyagi Stadium (Rifu)
  • Kensuke Nagai 19' goal
  • Kensuke Nagai 42' goal
  • Shoya Nakajima 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Jimenez 83'
  • yellowcard Bryan Tamacas 92'