Friendlies 1

Jun 15, 2023 at 11.10am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Japan
6 - 0
El Salvador

Taniguchi (1'), Ueda (4' pen.), Kubo (25'), Doan (44'), Nakamura (60'), Furuhashi (73')

FT(HT: 4-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Japan and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Japan 1-2 Colombia
Tuesday, March 28 at 11.20am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	3	1	6
2	Spain	3	6	4
3	Germany	3	1	4
4	Costa Rica	3	-8	3

El Salvador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: USA 1-0 El Salvador
Tuesday, March 28 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	El Salvador
61.75% ( 0.08)	23.05% ( -0.02)	15.2% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.78% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.03% (

-0.04)

54.97% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.76% (

-0.03)

76.24% (

0.03)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

0.02)

17.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.13% (

0.03)

47.87% (

-0.02)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.8% (

-0.11)

48.2% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.62% (

-0.08)

83.38% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Japan 61.75%

El Salvador 15.2%

Draw 23.05%

Japan	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.75%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.2%