USA national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Mar 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
 
El Salvador national football team

USA
1 - 0
El Salvador

Pepi (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between USA and El Salvador.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Grenada 1-7 USA
Saturday, March 25 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Honduras
Thursday, March 23 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawEl Salvador
71.08% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94)18.34% (0.416 0.42)10.58% (0.522 0.52)
Both teams to score 43.82% (0.556 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.328 -0.33)46.22% (0.324 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.307 -0.31)68.51% (0.304 0.3)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)11.71% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (-0.747 -0.75)36.83% (0.744 0.74)
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.63% (0.819 0.82)50.36% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.09% (0.556 0.56)84.91% (-0.559 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    USA 71.07%
    El Salvador 10.58%
    Draw 18.34%
USADrawEl Salvador
2-0 @ 13.56% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.7% (-0.274 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.07%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.204 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.19% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 2.98% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.58%

Head to Head
Jun 15, 2022 3am
League A
El Salvador
1-1
USA
Larin (35')
Antonio Martinez (85')
Gomez (79')
Morris (90+1')
Cannon (45+1'), Adams (76')
Arriola (70')
Jan 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
USA
1-0
El Salvador
Robinson (52')
Sep 3, 2021 3.05am
Third Round
El Salvador
0-0
USA

Monterroza (40')

McKennie (66'), Yedlin (68')
Dec 10, 2020 12.30am
Friendlies 1
USA
6-0
El Salvador
Arriola (17'), Mueller (20', 25'), Lletget (23'), Akinola (27'), Aaronson (50')

Dominguez (61')