CONCACAF Nations League
USA
Mar 28, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
El Salvador
  • Ricardo Pepi 62' goal

USA vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Mar 25, 2023 12.00am
Grenada 1 - 7 USA

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Jun 15, 2022 3.00am
El Salvador 1 - 1 USA

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result

USA 71.08% ▼ (-0.94)
Draw 18.34% ▲ (+0.42)
El Salvador 10.58% ▲ (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.82% ▲ (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.77% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 46.22% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 31.48% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 68.51% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 4.5 15.71% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 4.5 84.29% ▲ (+0.22)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 88.29% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 0.5 11.71% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 1.5 63.17% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 1.5 36.83% ▲ (+0.75)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 49.63% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 0.5 50.36% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 1.5 15.09% ▲ (+0.56)
Under 1.5 84.91% ▼ (-0.56)

Score analysis

USA 71.07%
Draw 18.34%
El Salvador 10.58%
USA
2-0 @ 13.56% ▼ (-0.19)
1-0 @ 12.65%
3-0 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.28)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.23)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.15)
1-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.58%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
El Salvador
Jun 15, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cuscatlán
USA
  • Alexander Larin 35' goal
  • Alexander Larin 36' goal
  • Ronald Gomez 79' redcard
  • Ronald Gomez 80' redcard
  • Mario Antonio Martinez 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reggie Cannon 45'+2'
  • redcard Paul Arriola 70'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 76'
  • yellowcard Tyler Adams 77'
  • goal Jordan Morris 90'+1'
  • goal Jordan Morris 90'+1'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
USA
Jan 28, 2022 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
El Salvador
  • Antonee Robinson 52' goal
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
El Salvador
Sep 3, 2021 3.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
USA
  • Marvin Monterroza 40' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Weston McKennie 66'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 68'
International Friendlies
USA
Dec 10, 2020 12.30am
6
0
HT : 5 0
FT
El Salvador
  • Paul Arriola 17' goal
  • Christopher Mueller 20' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 23' goal
  • Christopher Mueller 25' goal
  • Ayomide Akinola 27' goal
  • Brenden Aaronson 50' goal
  • yellowcard Roberto Dominguez 61'

Form Data

Grenada 1 - 7 USA
USA 0 - 0 Colombia
USA 1 - 2 Serbia
Netherlands 3 - 1 USA
Iran 0 - 1 USA
England 0 - 0 USA
El Salvador 0 - 1 Honduras
Nicaragua 1 - 0 El Salvador
El Salvador 1 - 4 Peru
Honduras 0 - 0 El Salvador
El Salvador 1 - 1 USA
Grenada 2 - 2 El Salvador