World Cup
Netherlands
Dec 3, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Khalifa International Stadium
USA
  • Memphis Depay 10' goal
  • Daley Blind 45'+1' goal
  • Denzel Dumfries 81' goal
  • goal Haji Wright 76'

Netherlands vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions

USA

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for USA had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a USA win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result

Netherlands 52.98% ▼ (-0.46)
Draw 25.74% ▲ (+0.31)
USA 21.28% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.57% ▼ (-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.17% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 2.5 56.83% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 3.5 22.24% ▼ (-0.77)
Under 3.5 77.76% ▲ (+0.77)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 78.48% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 0.5 21.52% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 1.5 45.42% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 1.5 54.57% ▲ (+0.89)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 58.07% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 0.5 41.93% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 1.5 21.62% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 78.37% ▲ (+0.35)

Score analysis

Netherlands 52.97%
Draw 25.74%
USA 21.28%
Netherlands
1-0 @ 13.86% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 10.64% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 52.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.74%
USA
0-1 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.28%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Netherlands
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm
USA
International Friendlies
Netherlands
Jun 5, 2015 7.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
USA
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 27' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 49' goal
  • Memphis Depay 53' goal
  • Daley Blind 66' yellowcard
  • Gregory van der Wiel 86' yellowcard
  • goal Gyasi Zardes 33'
  • goal John Brooks 70'
  • goal Danny Williams 89'
  • goal Bobby Wood 90'

Form Data

Netherlands 2 - 0 Qatar
Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador
Senegal 0 - 2 Netherlands
Netherlands 1 - 0 Belgium
Poland 0 - 2 Netherlands
Netherlands 3 - 2 Wales
Iran 0 - 1 USA
England 0 - 0 USA
USA 1 - 1 Wales
Saudi Arabia 0 - 0 USA
Japan 2 - 0 USA
El Salvador 1 - 1 USA

Build-up

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