World Cup
Nov 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cody Gakpo 26' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 49' goal

Netherlands vs Qatar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 25, 2022 4.00pm
Netherlands 1 - 1 Ecuador

Qatar

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Nov 25, 2022 1.00pm
Qatar 1 - 3 Senegal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 73.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands in this match.

Result

Netherlands 73.3% (-0.79)
Draw 16.54% (+0.33)
Qatar 10.15% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.37% (+0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.7% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 39.3% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 38.37% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 61.63% (+0.11)

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5 90.71% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 9.29% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 68.63% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 31.37% (+0.50)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5 53.32% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 46.68% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 17.76% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 82.24% (-0.65)

Score analysis

Netherlands 73.3%
Draw 16.54%
Qatar 10.15%
Netherlands
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 9.7% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.39%
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 4.39% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.07)
5-0 @ 2.74% (-0.13)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 73.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.85% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 4.34% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.55% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 16.54%
Qatar
0-1 @ 3.3% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 2.99% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 1.26% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 10.15%

Build-up

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