Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Nicaragua
51.67% ( 1.55)	25.71% ( -0.72)	22.61% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 47.23% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

1.87)

55.49% (

-1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

1.51)

76.67% (

-1.51)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

1.46)

21.52% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.42% (

2.19)

54.58% (

-2.19)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18% (

0.25)

39.82% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51% (

0.23)

76.49% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 51.67%

Nicaragua 22.61%

Draw 25.71%

Paraguay	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.67%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.61%