International Friendlies
Jun 18, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Miguel Almiron 62' goal
  • Fabian Balbuena 78' goal

Paraguay vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2023 1.30am
Chile 3 - 2 Paraguay

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 15, 2023 12.30am
Uruguay 4 - 1 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result

Paraguay 51.67% (+1.55)
Draw 25.71% (-0.72)
Nicaragua 22.61% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.23% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.51% (+1.88)
Under 2.5 55.49% (-1.87)
Over 3.5 23.32% (+1.51)
Under 3.5 76.67% (-1.51)
Over 4.5 10.31% (+0.92)
Under 4.5 89.69% (-0.92)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5 78.48% (+1.46)
Under 0.5 21.52% (-1.46)
Over 1.5 45.42% (+2.20)
Under 1.5 54.58% (-2.19)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 60.18% (+0.26)
Under 0.5 39.82% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 23.51% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 76.49% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Paraguay 51.67%
Draw 25.71%
Nicaragua 22.61%
Paraguay
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.38)
2-0 @ 10.11% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 5.18% (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.77% (+0.31)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.16)
4-0 @ 1.99% (+0.20)
4-1 @ 1.83% (+0.19)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 51.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.27)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.64)
2-2 @ 4.29% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.71%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.53)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 22.61%