/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Furulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniclog.png)
-
Matias Arezo
8'
-
Matias Arezo
8'
-
Rodrigo Zalazar
37'
-
Rodrigo Zalazar
37'
-
Brian Rodriguez
56'
-
Brian Rodriguez
56'
-
Rodrigo Zalazar
82'
-
Rodrigo Zalazar
82'
-
Luis Fernando Coronel Martinez
90'+2'
-
Luis Coronel
90'+2'
Uruguay vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F20%2Fmarcelo-bielsa.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 9.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.63%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
Uruguay
71.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
18.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Nicaragua
9.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
38.79%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
50.83%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
27.29%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
72.71%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
12.84%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
87.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
87.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
60.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
39.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5
44.51%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
55.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
11.83%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
88.17%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Uruguay
71.76%
Draw
18.73%
Nicaragua
9.5%
Uruguay
2-0
@
15%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 14.63%
3-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 71.76%
1-0 @ 14.63%
3-0 @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 71.76%
Draw
1-1
@
8.62%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.73%
0-0 @ 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.73%
Nicaragua
0-1
@
4.2%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 9.5%
1-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 9.5%