Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.