Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Nicaragua
59.59% ( -0.26)	23.56% ( 0.04)	16.85% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 44.64% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.68% (

0.2)

54.32% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.3% (

0.16)

75.7% (

-0.16)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.02)

17.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.2% (

-0.04)

48.8% (

0.04)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.41% (

0.41)

45.58% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.6% (

0.32)

81.4% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Panama 59.57%

Nicaragua 16.85%

Draw 23.56%

Panama	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 59.57%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.85%