Panama national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio de Miraflores
Nicaragua national football team

Panama
3 - 2
Nicaragua

Murillo (55', 55', 81', 81'), Miller (84', 84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Talavera (44', 44'), Acevedo (62', 62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Panama and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Wednesday, March 29 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua

All competitions
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 1-1 Nicaragua
Tuesday, March 28 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawNicaragua
59.59% (-0.263 -0.26)23.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)16.85% (0.227 0.23)
Both teams to score 44.64% (0.325 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.68% (0.197 0.2)54.32% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.3% (0.162 0.16)75.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)17.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)48.8% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.41% (0.412 0.41)45.58% (-0.40799999999999 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.6% (0.322 0.32)81.4% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Panama 59.57%
    Nicaragua 16.85%
    Draw 23.56%
PanamaDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 14.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 59.57%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.19% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.43% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Panama vs Nicaragua

Panama
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Nicaragua
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020
1am
International Friendlies
Nicaragua  
N
vs.
P
   Panama