Argentina national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Panama national football team

Argentina
2 - 0
Panama

Almada (78'), Messi (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Argentina and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's friendly fixture against Panama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Panama
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 75.29%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Panama had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (11.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
ArgentinaDrawPanama
75.29% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)16.51% (0.048000000000002 0.05)8.2% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 40.22% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (-0.115 -0.12)45.59% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.113 -0.11)67.92% (0.11 0.11)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)10.42% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.02% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)33.99% (0.113 0.11)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.1% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.06% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)87.94% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 75.28%
    Panama 8.2%
    Draw 16.51%
ArgentinaDrawPanama
2-0 @ 14.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.98% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.26% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 75.28%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 16.51%
0-1 @ 3.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 8.2%

How you voted: Argentina vs Panama

Argentina
90.4%
Draw
4.1%
Panama
5.5%
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