Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%).