International Friendlies
Nov 16, 2022 3.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Sheikh Zayed Sports City
  • goal Julian Alvarez 17'
  • goal Angel di Maria 25'
  • goal Angel di Maria 36'
  • goal Lionel Messi 44'
  • goal Joaquin Correa 60'

United Arab Emirates vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 27, 2022 4.00pm
UAE 0 - 4 Venezuela

Argentina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 28, 2022 1.00am
Argentina 3 - 0 Jamaica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result

United Arab Emirates 23.19% (-0.04)
Draw 24.33% (+0.02)
Argentina 52.47% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.96% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.41% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 49.58% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.39% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.6% (+0.07)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5 64.04% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 35.95% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.26% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 72.73% (+0.08)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 81.13% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.86% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.68% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.32% (+0.04)

Score analysis

United Arab Emirates 23.19%
Draw 24.33%
Argentina 52.47%
United Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 6.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.78% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.33%
Argentina
0-1 @ 11.31% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.25% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.47%