Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.