International Friendly

Nov 16, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Sheikh Zayed Sports City

UAE
0 - 5
Argentina

FT(HT: 0-4)

Alvarez (17'), di Maria (25', 36'), Messi (44'), Correa (60')

Reaction

Argentina's Lionel Messi scores their fourth goal on November 16, 2022

Lionel Messi on target as Argentina hit five past United Arab Emirates in friendly win

Argentina round off their 2022 World Cup preparations in style courtesy of a comfortable 5-0 friendly victory against United Arab Emirates in Abu Dhabi on Wednesday.

Nov 16, 17:39

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between United Arab Emirates and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: UAE 0-4 Venezuela
Tuesday, September 27 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Argentina

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 1-0 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Argentina
23.19% ( -0.04)	24.33% ( 0.01)	52.47% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41% (

-0.08)

49.58% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

-0.07)

71.6% (

0.07)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.04% (

-0.08)

35.95% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.26% (

-0.08)

72.73% (

0.08)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.13% (

-0.02)

18.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.68% (

-0.04)

50.32% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 23.19%

Argentina 52.47%

Draw 24.33%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.19%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.47%