International Friendlies
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Julian Alvarez
13'
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Lionel Messi
87'
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Lionel Messi
89'
Argentina vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 65.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 10.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.37%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result
Argentina
65.94%
▲
(+51.03)
Draw
23.22%
▼
(-0.77)
Jamaica
10.84%
▼
(-50.27)
Both Teams to Score:
32.26%
▼
(-7.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.02%
▼
(-4.35)
Under 2.5
62.98%
▲
(+4.35)
Over 3.5
17.55%
▼
(-3.27)
Under 3.5
82.45%
▲
(+3.27)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5
81.11%
▲
(+31.94)
Under 0.5
18.89%
▼
(-31.94)
Over 1.5
49.63%
▲
(+34.86)
Under 1.5
50.37%
▼
(-34.86)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5
39.77%
▼
(-41.22)
Under 0.5
60.23%
▲
(+41.21)
Over 1.5
9.23%
▼
(-40.19)
Under 1.5
90.77%
▲
(+40.19)
Score analysis
Argentina
65.93%
Draw
23.22%
Jamaica
10.84%
Argentina
1-0
@
18.96%
▲
(+12.42)
2-0 @ 15.79% ▲ (+13.58)
3-0 @ 8.78% ▼ (-41.23)
2-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+4.34)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-78.45)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-4.85)
4-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-12.15)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-67.68)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 65.93%
2-0 @ 15.79% ▲ (+13.58)
3-0 @ 8.78% ▼ (-41.23)
2-1 @ 8.01% ▲ (+4.34)
3-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-78.45)
4-0 @ 3.66% ▼ (-4.85)
4-1 @ 1.85% ▼ (-12.15)
5-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-67.68)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 65.93%
Draw
0-0
@
11.37%
▲
(+1.71)
1-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-1.24)
2-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-1.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.22%
1-1 @ 9.61% ▼ (-1.24)
2-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-1.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.22%
Jamaica
0-1
@
5.77%
▼
(-10.28)
1-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-6.58)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-11.85)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 10.84%
1-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-6.58)
0-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-11.85)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 10.84%
