Argentina vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Australia had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.