Poland vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

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Football | 30 Nov 2022 22:24

The match

Result

Argentina top Group C with win over Poland, who also qualify for last 16

Football | 30 Nov 2022 20:59

Team News

Team News: Alvarez starts for Argentina, Lautaro Martinez, Lisandro Martinez benched

Football | 30 Nov 2022 17:50

Match Preview

Preview: Poland vs. Argentina - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 28 Nov 2022 13:36

Predicted Lineups

How Argentina could line up against Poland

Football | 28 Nov 2022 13:57

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

World Cup

Last game

Nov 26, 2022 1.00pm

Poland 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup

Last game

Nov 26, 2022 7.00pm

Argentina 2 - 0 Mexico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Poland win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.